DeWine trails Brown by 8 points

In a new SurveyUSA poll of likely voters, Mike DeWine trails Sherrod Brown by 8 points (41% to 49%), but there’s no detail in the story or in the crosstabs about how exactly the pollsters identified which respondents were the “likely voters.” The poll’s margin of error is 4.5%.
A note of caution: the respondents lived in the Cincinnati, Cleveland, and Youngstown areas. That sounds to me like the results would skew towards the Democrat side. Both Cleveland and Youngstown are heavily Democratic areas. I wonder why the Columbus, Dayton, and Toledo areas were left out? [Update: I stand corrected.]
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  1. While SurveyUSA’s three clients in the state of Ohio happen to be located in those three media markets, it is indeed a statewide poll; you’ll notice the crosstabs break the state out into western, central, and eastern portions of the state.

  2. Thanks for clarifying that. Can you also tell me how you identified the likely voters?

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